Economist warns U.S. tariff policy could impact Dominican economy
Santo Domingo.- Economist Jaime Aristy Escuder cautioned that the trade policies of former U.S. President Donald Trump could cause global economic instability and negatively impact the Dominican Republic, particularly in tourism and manufacturing. He highlighted that if the U.S. maintains a 25% tariff on Mexican goods, the Mexican peso could depreciate by up to 10%, making Mexico a more affordable destination and reducing the Dominican Republic’s tourism competitiveness.
However, he noted that the trade war could create opportunities for the Dominican manufacturing sector. If the U.S. increases import costs from Mexico and China, American companies might relocate production to the Dominican Republic, benefiting the free trade zones.
Aristy Escuder explained that Trump’s policy aims to boost U.S. domestic trade but has sparked retaliatory measures from Mexico and Canada, escalating regional economic tensions. He warned that these policies could slow U.S. economic growth, affecting global markets. Given the potential risks, he urged the Dominican government to closely monitor trade developments to mitigate possible negative effects on the national economy.
Observing Trump’s behavior, it is not unconceivable he will want to rewrite CAFTA to favor the US. Best to rewrite to favor both.
Wouldn’t worry too much about Mexico. It is currently a DO NOT TRAVEL country due to extreme crime, cartel activity and drug trafficing. The cartels are killing folks faster than they arrive for vacation.